Will China fully annex Taiwan before 2053?
Basic
4
Ṁ482053
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A puppet government which is nominally semi-autonomous but actually under Beijing control (ala USSR satellite states) would still count as full annexation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
30% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
36% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
32% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
41% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
34% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
48% chance
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
34% chance
What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?
Will China unify with Taiwan by the end of 2030?
17% chance