Will China invade Taiwan before 2030? | Manifold

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

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95

Ṁ8709

2030

38%

chance

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1M

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#China Taiwan potential conflict

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Does reunification following a blockade/military action short of invasion count?

Does seizure of an outlying island (Kinmen, Matsu, Penghu) count?

Does seizure of Taiping Island in the SCS count?

bought Ṁ10 NO

great questions

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+6% 1d41% chance

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Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?

When will China invade Taiwan

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?

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