Will China invade Taiwan before 2030? | Manifold

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

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2030

34%

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#China Taiwan potential conflict

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Does reunification following a blockade/military action short of invasion count?

Does seizure of an outlying island (Kinmen, Matsu, Penghu) count?

Does seizure of Taiping Island in the SCS count?

bought Ṁ10 NO

great questions

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-5% 1d27% chance

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