(Before 2030) How will China actually initiate the annexation of Taiwan?
➕
Plus
13
Ṁ582
2030
58%
None (no direct annexation attempt)
5%
Formal ultimatum -- China will formally request for talks to discuss annexation ("or else")
6%
An small incident (whether accidental or planned) snowballs into a full scale conflict
18%
Direct hostilities -- Surprise large scale military action (blockade, direct attack, etc.)
12%
Other

Closes end of this year (2024). Resolves when China does something or in 2030.

If you think 'other' please say what you think in the comments.

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When does this close? This year? And then when does it resolve?

@JoshuaWilkes

Closes end of this year. Resolves when China does something or in 2030.

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