Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Manifold

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

Plus

26

Ṁ8994

2025

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

See the question and its resolution criteria on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17763/threads-more-users-than-twitter-before-2026/

This question resolves as YES if, before Dec 31, 2025, Meta publicly reports Threads has a Monthly Active User number higher than the best public estimates of Twitter's MAUs at that time, and NO otherwise.

Resolves the same way as the linked quesiton on Metaculus.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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opened a Ṁ2,000 YES at 16% order

175M MAUs, per Mark

opened a Ṁ5,005 NO at 13% order

Open until Feb 2

Ṁ8K in NO limit orders from 17% to 24% open for the next week. @TP ?

TomboughtṀ1,024NO

@toms You're correct but you can get your mana back a lot faster here:

M500 No order at 19%

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