What will be revealed in the newly released files regarding the JFK/MLK/RFK assassinations? [Add Answers]
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Plus
4
Ṁ465
May 2
39%
The government worked with Loyd Jowers
69%
Evidence of CIA surveillance of Lee Harvey Oswald in Mexico City
39%
Information about other parties or government agencies involved in JFK assassination
50%
Reasons for agencies' previous withholding of assassination-related information
39%
Names or identities of previously undisclosed confidential informants
50%
Details about war plans or intelligence operations unrelated to the assassinations
37%
New information about connections between the three assassinations
52%
Evidence of information withheld from the Warren Commission
50%
Previously unreported witness testimonies or statements
50%
Details about law enforcement or intelligence agency operations during the investigation periods
37%
New ballistics or forensic evidence analysis
25%
Information about foreign government involvement or knowledge
69%
Details about surveillance of MLK prior to his assassination
50%
New information about James Earl Ray's movements or connections
39%
Previously undisclosed details about Sirhan Sirhan and the RFK assassination
31%
Evidence supporting major conspiracy theories
50%
Evidence debunking a major conspiracy theory

Background

The Trump administration has ordered the release of previously classified files related to the assassinations of John F. Kennedy, Martin Luther King Jr., and Robert F. Kennedy. These files are expected to contain sensitive information about intelligence operations, surveillance activities, and investigative details that have been kept secret for decades.

Resolution Criteria

Each answer will be resolved independently based on credible media reports, official government statements, or direct examination of the released documents. For an answer to resolve as YES, there must be clear evidence that new, substantive information about that specific topic was revealed in the newly released files.

Answers will resolve as:

  • YES if new, substantive information on that topic is revealed

  • NO if no new information is revealed or if the information revealed is trivial/already known

  • N/A if the files are not released or if the specific topic cannot be definitively evaluated

On Adding Answers:

  • I reserve the right to N/A any answer that is not in keeping with the spirit of this market

  • If an answer is added after that answer has already satisfied the criteria to resolve, that answer will resolve N/A

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Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments. In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.

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@traders because this incorrectly merged two questions, this question will resolve N/A and a new question will be created.

“Evidence confirming OR debunking major conspiracy theories”? wouldn’t it be more useful to separate those options?

@MikeElias I just changed it to evidence supporting major conspiracy theories

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