Who will be nominated to the next president's cabinet?
โž•
Plus
60
แน€11k
2025
55%
RFK Jr.
10%
Elon Musk
34%
Tulsi Gabbard
2%
Pete Buttigieg
10%
Mark Cuban
20%
Jamie Dimon
7%
Liz Cheney
11%
Merrick Garland
2%
Joe Biden
45%
Vivek Ramaswamy
41%
Deb Haaland
12%
Jon Tester
3%
Cory Booker
27%
Vanita Gupta
5%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Jack Smith
10%
Mike Lindell
8%
John F. Kelly
8%
James Mattis
63%
Marco Rubio

Any person nominated to a cabinet position within the first 100 days of the next presidency will resolve to YES. For the purposes of this market, cabinet positions include the heads of 15 executive departments or any other positions officially designated by the White House as part of the cabinet (provided those positions require confirmation by the Senate). Should the White House not issue a list of cabinet officials within the first 100 days of the next presidency, the list from the Biden administration will be used. For the purposes of this market, only nomination will be relevant, subsequent confirmation or failure of confirmation will not be relevant.

A person will be considered to have been nominated once the Congressional Record shows that the Senate has received their nomination.

If a choice is a member of the cabinet when the next president is sworn in and remains in that cabinet position for the first 100 days of the next presidency without resigning, that choice will resolve to yes at the end of the first 100 days of the presidency, provided that they have served in that cabinet post for the entire 100 days.

On Adding Answers:

  • I reserve the right to N/A any answer that is not in keeping with the spirit of this market

  • If an answer is added after that answer has already satisfied the criteria to resolve "Yes" that answer will resolve N/A

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แน€1,000
and
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@traders Please note the following rules on adding answers:
On Adding Answers:

  • I reserve the right to N/A any answer that is not in keeping with the spirit of this market

  • If an answer is added after that answer has already satisfied the criteria to resolve "Yes" that answer will resolve N/A

@traders Please note the addition of the following rules:

A person will be considered to have been nominated once the Congressional Record shows that the Senate has received their nomination.

and

If a choice is a member of the cabinet when the next president is sworn in and remains in that cabinet position for the first 100 days of the next presidency without resigning, that choice will resolve to yes at the end of the first 100 days of the presidency, provided that they have served in that cabinet post for the entire 100 days.

Here's some conditional markets for each candidate, too

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