Will Kamala Harris be the Vice President of the United States of America at 11:59PM ET on January 20th 2025?
Plus
30
Ṁ4578Jan 22
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Radicalia My interpretation of the question as worded is that any time of day would do, but we should still ask in what time zone.
@LukeHanks the point is, if Biden/Harris lose the election a new VP is sworn in on that day. This question serves as a proxy for a few different things: the election outcome, Biden dying, Biden chosing a different VP.
In all situations, except Biden dying, she will be VP in the morning, but may not be after 12pm. The time of day is relevant to how this resolves.
@Radicalia @LukeHanks I have updated the question to further clarify. I probably should’ve just said 1/21/2024 but specifically resolves at 11:59PM Eastern Time on Jan 20th, 2024.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Kamala Harris become President on or before 20th January 2025 (Inauguration Day)?
Will Kamala Harris ever be president?
9% chance
Will Kamala Harris ever become president
9% chance
Will Kamala Harris be president of the United States before the end of January 2029?
8% chance
Will Kamala Harris be president sometime in the 2025-2029 presidential term?
4% chance
Will Kamala Harris announce she's running for governor of California before July 1, 2025?
18% chance
Will Kamala Harris become the POTUS before 2034?
16% chance
Will Vice President Harris have a (very) short run as president?
13% chance
Will Kamala Harris serve as president at any time before 2040.
11% chance
Will Kamala Harris ever be elected President?
13% chance