Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2030? | Manifold

Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2030?

Plus

10

Ṁ599

2030

4%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

YES = if a misaligned AI is the primary cause of death of at least 1% of the population (~81-85M deaths based on current projections) within any 12 month period that ends before 2030.

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