Will I consider myself “doom-pilled” by EOY 2024? | Manifold

Will I consider myself “doom-pilled” by EOY 2024?

Basic

10

Ṁ115

Dec 31

37%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://manifold.markets/Alana/will-i-consider-myself-doompilled-b?r=QWxhbmE

Last market was pretty good, let’s try again!

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Change my view

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ20 NO

@Alana You may enjoy this 30-minute video.

https://youtu.be/0pgEMWy70Qk?si=tpKE4GNIhEn9IaQi

Should a specific p(doom) qualify as doom-pilled? If so, what should that p(doom) be? 70%?

After looking more carefully into WTSG, I now feel quite a bit less optimistic about it than I did initially. It still seems like an exciting empirical direction of inquiry, however.

bought Ṁ1 NO at 58%

bought Ṁ3 YES

Related questions

Will I be significantly happier in 2024?

Will I be significantly happier in 2024?

Will I have a positive view of effective altruism on December 31, 2024?

Will I experience non-self in 2024?

Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?

Will I be untraumatized/not be sad all the time by EOY 2024?

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?

Will I be “successful” in 2024?

Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?

Will I have a panic attack in 2024?

Related questions

Will I be significantly happier in 2024?

Will I be untraumatized/not be sad all the time by EOY 2024?

Will I be significantly happier in 2024?

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?

Will I have a positive view of effective altruism on December 31, 2024?

Will I be “successful” in 2024?

Will I experience non-self in 2024?

Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?

Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?

Will I have a panic attack in 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules