Will the U.S. supreme court be packed/expanded before 2040?
Basic
25
Ṁ5172040
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any expansion of the court beyond 9 members, whatever the stated justification, counts as court-packing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Possible arb opportunity: https://manifold.markets/Mana/what-will-happen-during-trumps-seco-AdN8y00IUt
Related to SCOTUS reform. Has no mention of changing the size of the court : https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/07/29/fact-sheet-president-biden-announces-bold-plan-to-reform-the-supreme-court-and-ensure-no-president-is-above-the-law/
Related questions
Related questions
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024?
5% chance
Will the US supreme court contain more than 9 justices before 2030?
15% chance
Will the supreme court be majority-women in 2040?
21% chance
Will the Supreme Court decide 80 or more cases in 2024?
20% chance
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
57% chance
Will there be a vacancy on the Supreme Court by the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will the makeup of the US Supreme Court change before January 20th, 2025 at 12pm ET?
15% chance
When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?
Will any US Supreme Court justice retire before the 2025 presidential inauguration?
8% chance
Will the US add another state or more Supreme Court justices first