Will the U.S. supreme court be packed/expanded before 2040?
25
295Ṁ5172040
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any expansion of the court beyond 9 members, whatever the stated justification, counts as court-packing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Possible arb opportunity: https://manifold.markets/Mana/what-will-happen-during-trumps-seco-AdN8y00IUt
Related to SCOTUS reform. Has no mention of changing the size of the court : https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/07/29/fact-sheet-president-biden-announces-bold-plan-to-reform-the-supreme-court-and-ensure-no-president-is-above-the-law/
Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
75% chance
Will the US supreme court contain more than 9 justices before 2030?
15% chance
Will the supreme court be majority-women in 2040?
21% chance
Will the number of seats on the Supreme Court be increased from 9 between now and 2030?
13% chance
Will an age limit be placed on the US Supreme Court before 2030?
5% chance
Will a 10th Judge be Appointed to the US Supreme Court by 2026?
3% chance
Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?
17% chance
Will the number of justices on the SCOTUS be increased by the end of 2028?
12% chance
Will the Supreme Court decide 75 or more cases in 2025?
11% chance
Will there be more than 9 Justices in the US Supreme Court on Jan 1, 2030?
13% chance