Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026?
Plus
62
Ṁ40882027
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if there is broad consensus that the armed forces of Ukraine control all of Melitopol within its official administrative limits, for at least 24 consecutive hours, at any point before the end of 2026.
If that has not happened by the 1st of January, 2027 (local time), it resolves to NO. In case there is any ambiguity at that point as to whether the city is fully under Ukrainian control or contested, a delay of 7 days will be added to ascertain what the exact status of the city was on the last 24 hours of 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
In case anyone is interested:
https://manifold.markets/AlexandreK/will-russian-forces-take-vuhledar-i
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2027?
28% chance
Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
3% chance
By the end of 2024, will Ukraine still hold any of the Russian territory it currently holds?
98% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
56% chance
Will Ukraine regain control of its pre-2014 territory (including Crimea and Donbas) by 2025?
1% chance
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
18% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
54% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
11% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?
15% chance