
Will any AI score 30% or more on Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before Ramadan 2025?
7
100Ṁ490Feb 28
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@DavidHiggs I would have bet to lower than 22% since Ramadan is 11 days from now, except for uncertainty about the actual resolution criteria. If an AI gets 31% on HLE before the end of Ramadan, does this resolve yes?
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
83% chance
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
38% chance
Before what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?
Will any AI get a score of at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark before March 11, 2025?
12% chance
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
81% chance
Will there be a score of 80% or higher on Humanity's Last Exam before April 1, 2025?
4% chance
What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
26% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2026?
42% chance
Will Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?
79% chance