
Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?
46
1kṀ29282050
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By viable it is meant to demonstrate a net energy gain sufficient to supply a medium sized population
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2050?
70% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2040?
66% chance
Will fusion power be commercially available by 2050?
64% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2045?
55% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2035?
37% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?
50% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2040?
71% chance
Will a pure nuclear fusion bomb be developed before 2100?
37% chance
When will fusion power become viable?
2041
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
20% chance
Sort by:
Does it also needs to be *economically* viable to resolve yes? Or just generally net positive?
https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil
Arbitrage opportunity
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2050?
70% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2040?
66% chance
Will fusion power be commercially available by 2050?
64% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2045?
55% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2035?
37% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?
50% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2040?
71% chance
Will a pure nuclear fusion bomb be developed before 2100?
37% chance
When will fusion power become viable?
2041
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
20% chance