A pure combinational logic byte level RNN will exist by end of 2024
➕
Plus
8
Ṁ3155
Jan 1
7%
chance

Similer to https://manifold.markets/Amaryllis/a-pure-binary-llm-will-exist-by-end however must also be:

- Byte level: Uses 8 bit utf8 bytes as tokens.
- RNN: Each step takes in an array of S bits of state and 8 bits input, and outputs a distribution for the next byte and S bits of state.

As before, bits per byte must be at least as good as GPT-2 (1.225 BPB) on The Pile. It does not matter how the combinational logic is created. It is permitted to unroll integer or floating point math. However the resulting logic graph must exist and be evaluable on a commodity computer with at most 1TB of RAM.

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Ṁ1,000
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bought Ṁ1,750 NO

@Amaryllis have you heard of any developments wrt this market? I looked a bit and found nothing unfortunately

@Bayesian nope. Unless something big comes out soon, it looks like this market is going to resolve NO.

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