Elon Musk Tweeting Prediction Market
Basic
26
Ṁ16k
2029
99%
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2025 on a day that Elon Musk also tweeted
74%
Will Elon Musk change his profile picture in 2025
65%
Will Elon Musk change his profile picture in 2026
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 5, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 6, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 7, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will @ManifoldMarkets's twitter account has more than 7000 followers in Jan 2024
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 12, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 13, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 14, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 8, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk change his profile picture in 2024
Resolved
YES
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2024 on a day that Elon Musk also tweeted
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 9, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 15, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk change his profile picture before Sep 2024 (start counting from Apr 15)
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 4, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 10, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
YES
Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 11, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Resolved
N/A
Will Elon Musk tweet 4 or more times on Jan 5, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET

This is a collection of daily market on the tweeting activity of Elon Musk.
(as well as other markets related to Elon Musk and/or Twitter/X)

I will continue to create new daily markets about Elon Musk here (Stay tuned and like the market if you like betting on Elon Musk tweeting markets!)


Note:
-I reserve the right to NA any daily markets with less than 5 non-bot traders
-I reserve the right to NA any other markets with less than 10 non-bot traders
-I plan to extend the close date of the market indefinitely
-If complications happened to the markets, I will consider resolving them NA
(e.g. if Musk deleted one of his tweet and we were unable to figure out if more than 2 tweet happened in the day)
-I'm still testing how the display of MC market works. Ideally I want the daily markets to be visible even if there are many open markets. If the long term markets would end up preventing the proper display of daily markets I will consider moving them else where

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Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2024 on a day that Elon Musk also tweeted
bought Ṁ300 Will @realDonaldTrum... YES
bought Ṁ280 Will @realDonaldTrum... YES

@AmmonLam can you resolve please

Will Elon Musk change his profile picture before Sep 2024 (start counting from Apr 15)
bought Ṁ235 Will Elon Musk chang... YES

this one resolves yes @AmmonLam

bought Ṁ130 Answer #a1f38fc725e7 NO

@mods
Profile pic 3 April 2024
https://www.socialmediatoday.com/news/no-x-formerly-twitter-isnt-seeing-all-time-high-traffic/712242/
appears same as today so I think that

Will Elon Musk change his profile picture before June 2024 (start counting from Apr 15)
can resolve no

Will Elon Musk change his profile picture in 2024
bought Ṁ600 Will Elon Musk chang... YES

Resolves yes

Will Elon Musk change his profile picture in 2026

you'll need to extend the close date to accommodate these (currently closing at the end of 2024)

Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 13, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET

Yes

Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 15, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET

Yes

Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 12, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET

Yes

Will Elon Musk tweet 2 or more times on Jan 14, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET

Yes

Will @ManifoldMarkets's twitter account has more than 7000 followers in Jan 2024

yes

Jan 5, Jan 6, Jan 7, Jan 8 can resolve YES

Will Elon Musk tweet 4 or more times on Jan 5, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET

Why did this resolve NA?

@GabeGarboden Probably because of this: "I reserve the right to NA any daily markets with less than 5 non-bot traders." I don't understand why Ammon Lam wants to N/A markets with low numbers of traders though.

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