What will be true about the highest profit earned from a single market in 2024?
Basic
12
Ṁ855
Jan 1
18%
Earned on a LK-99 related market
60%
Earned on a Presidential election related market
18%
Earned on a AI related market
22%
Such market's resolution will be controversial (I will use my judgement)
59%
Such market will have over 1.5k unique traders
12%
Earned by @JamesGrugett
6%
Earned by @SanghyeonSeo
12%
Earned by @Tumbles
16%
Earned by @jacksonpolack
16%
16%
19%
Earned on a sport related market
23%
It'll be on a spam market (a binary market that has at least two others by the same creator that differ from it by at most one parameter - dates, amounts, object being focused etc)

This market only counts realized profits. The profit displayed for each person after the market is resolved will be the basis for resolution.

Only markets that resolves in 2024 qualifies. Markets resolved before this market's creation don't qualify. (To accommodate markets that are meant to close in 2024 but takes a few days to resolve, I will count market that resolves earlier than Jan 7th, 2025. If a market for some reason could not get resolved earlier than Jan 7th due to some controversy, I will have to disqualify such market.)

I'll ignore bets placed to manipulate this market (with alt accounts, etc.) with fake profit. This market only considers realized profit on ranked markets with over 100 traders. unlisted, unsubsidized or unranked market's profit do not count.

Inspired by @Bayesian's market:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
It'll be on a spam market (a binary market that has at least two others by the same creator that differ from it by at most one parameter - dates, amounts, object being focused etc)
bought Ṁ10 It'll be on a spam m... NO

I like this

@AmmonLam I know you do 😉

To be clear, I strongly dislike what I define as spam markets, and my impression is that you create a lot of them, but if that is indeed the case I totally respect that because you're just following your incentives. "Hate the game not the players", they say.

Also, does the main LK-99 market qualify? It technically closes on Jan 1st, 2025 (I know you said you'd give resolutions until the 7th, but does that count for markets that close in 2025?)

@benshindel Yes, LK-99 market do qualify. All markets that resolved before Jan 7th, 2025 qualifies (But if the LK-99 market did not resolve before Jan 7th, 2025, it would be disqualified)

bought Ṁ10 Such market's resolu... NO

Can you add "sports related market"?

@benshindel added sports related market. I also opened the add answer option to everyone (that's how I intended it to be in the beginning)

Does anyone know which market this would have been in 2023? I’m curious.

@Arky good question

just to be super clear, if LK-99 main market resolves a couple days into 2025 that obviously doesnt count ?

@jim I need to clarify this

@jim updated to:

(To accommodate markets that are meant to close in 2024 but takes a few days to resolve, I will count market that resolves earlier than Jan 7th, 2025. If a market for some reason could get resolved earlier than Jan 7th due to some controversy, I will have to disqualify such market.)

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