When will an exomoon be discovered? | Manifold

When will an exomoon be discovered?

Basic

4

Ṁ764

2051

3%

before the end of 2024

6%

before the end of 2025

12%

before the end of 2026

34%

before the end of 2027

34%

before the end of 2028

50%

before the end of 2029

66%

before the end of 2030

66%

before the end of 2035

72%

before the end of 2040

83%

before the end of 2045

92%

before the end of 2050

98.4%

before the end of year 100000

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exomoon

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What does this option mean? Resolves NO when one is discovered, resolves YES never (or if we can somehow prove there are none)?

bought Ṁ5 YES

Ok, I like "before the end of year 100000" better because it also avoids flipping the yes/no

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