[Daily Streak Ironman] Which candidate would last the longest? [40000 Mana prize]

Manifold Users Daily Streak Ironman Unranked

Basic

Ṁ35k

2025

ALL

40%

28%

28%

Join the first Manifold daily login Ironman competition!

Rules:

Stay in the competition by trading on your own answer once a day.
Any competitor who fails to place a bet for 36 consecutive hours is eliminated from the game. Bot bets and bets placed with an API do not count.
I will occasionally request a required bet amount (1-3 Mana) to prevent competitors from using bot bets. (all candidates will be pinged, so you wont miss the announcement when you place a bet)

The person who manages to stay in the game the longest wins the 30000 Mana prize. The second-place winner receives a 7000 Mana consolation prize, and the third-place winner receives a 3000 Mana consolation prize.

Note: It is totally fine for a candidate to bet 1 mana and then sell the shares immediately, that would count as the daily trade.

Note: The elimination rule remains even if there is an outage on Manifold. Contestants are responsible for figuring out how to bet ASAP after an outage. If Manifold goes on a 36 consecutive hour outage and all contestants are eliminated due to the outage, the contestant with the latest bet are eliminated last therefore wins the game.

The Ironman officially started on Monday Mar 4th, 2024

Edit: total prize pool adjusted to 40000 Mana in response to the pivot devaluing Mana. I cannot foresee all the possible changes to mana to USD conversion rate in the future, in any case the prize will correspond to 40USD of value.

Get Ṁ600 play money

Related questions

Will the total mana supply be higher or lower, 30 days after the first prize points are withdrawn to cash?

Which Manifold user will have the most unredeemed prize points at the end of 2024?

Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?

To Ammon’s discretion, will the Daily Streak Ironman end because of a Manifold outage?

23% chance

How many days will the winner of the Daily Streak Ironman last?

26 Comments

14 Holders

1.6k Trades

Sort by:

bought Ṁ1 @jim YES

hey ammon u should pay us all out our 3000 ironmanas since we're all guaranteed at least that much 😃

bro's hustlin for funds to buy biden down

I'm keeping manas in reserve... waiting for an opportunity

bought Ṁ75 @snazzlePop YES

I thought I might lose this weekend. I’m at a trailhead and will be climbing Mt. Adams over the next couple days, and GaiaGPS’s mapping layer for my cell service provider indicated that I wouldn’t have any service on this trip. However, to my surprise, I actually have a couple bars!

View from the summit. Mt. Rainier is in the background. Beautiful morning to climb a mountain!

I just reached a 900-day streak on Duolingo, and I'm looking forward to the next 900 days with you all. 😇

ITM

bought Ṁ1 @Lorxus YES

My last bet was about 32 hours ago?

you are dead

proofs

yeah, fair enough. if that's the case I can finally stop caring about this and having it cause me memory leakage @Sinclair TwT

sold Ṁ5 @Lorxus YES

@Lorxus

Given the Great Pivot eliminating managrams, how are you planning to get the winner their winnings? @AmmonLam

@Lorxus We can do a will xxx win the Ironman market and I put up NO limit orders as a way to award thw winning

@AmmonLam I think that might be explicitly banned?

yeah that seems banned, but also my guess is that the staff will make exceptions for situations like this one. not sure but they eg said they would help tumbles out for mana transfers