Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
Mini
6
Ṁ2232031
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Start counting from market creation (Jan 27,2024). Including tests. Only count deaths directly related to the explosion within 10 days of the explosion.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
44% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?
66% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
18% chance
Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030
79% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
19% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?
2% chance
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
27% chance
Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?
15% chance
Will a nuclear weapon cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?
1% chance