Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2025?

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If NASA announces that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon before December 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.

Else, the market resolves to No.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing

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bought Ṁ2,458 NO

@AmmonLam the close date on this market is off by a year

https://kalshi.com/markets/moon/moon-landing (identical market description)

Is the close date a mistake?

<2025:

/levifinkelstein/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-by-th

/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-97aac7e1ff3b

<2026:

/Treldman/will-there-be-a-new-human-moon-land

/BoltonBailey/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon

/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-f11b40742c45

/wadimiusz/by-the-start-of-2026-will-any-human

Later:

/Odoacre/will-a-human-astronaut-land-on-the

/StanPinsent/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-by-20

/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again

/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2fc067c3b7fb

Doubtful IMO: https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/11/the-oracle-who-predicted-slss-launch-in-2023-has-thoughts-about-artemis-iii/amp/

Artemis 3 is not scheduled to launch until 2025. Space missions almost never happen ahead of schedule.

@Yev Wait a moment. 1969 is technically "before December 31, 2024".

predicts YES

@Yev okay, fair point

https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-f11b40742c45

Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2025?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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