Will there be a research paper that uses Manifold data and has 100 Google Scholar citations by the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
13
Ṁ272
2026
73%
chance

Resolves Yes if a research paper that used Manifold data have 100 google scholar citations by the end of 2025

To quality for having used Manifold data, at least 100 questions from Manifold should have been used for the research paper.

Resolves No if no one are able to show that a research paper that used Manifold data have 100 google scholar citations by the end of 2025


Some current candidate papers:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.18563

#Manifold
#Manifold Business Future
#Science
#Academia
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
3 Comments
10 Holders
17 Trades
Sort by:

The author(s) would need full access to Manifold data in order to randomly pull representative data. Is Manifold open to that level of scrutiny?

@SusanneinFrance the authors doesn't necessarily have to pull representative data to use it in a research paper.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.18563
This paper used a non representative sample

@SusanneinFrance The API (documented and undocumented) has basically everything

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules