Will there be enough volcanic or seismic activity at Campi Flegrei in 2024 to lead to an evacuation?
Basic
10
Ṁ350
Dec 31
37%
chance

The Campi Flegrei (Phlegraean Fields) caldera in western Naples is increasingly active, and in a densely populated area. Will there, before the end of 2024, be an evacuation of more than 1,000 people due to seismic or volcanic activity?

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Ṁ1,000
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Related (but I think not a pure arb, since it could be evacuated without erupting?)

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