
Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?
96
1.7kṀ9791Sep 26
1D
1W
1M
ALL
65%
Biden
19%
Trump
9%
Putin
7%
Xi
They're all in their eighth or ninth decades!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Really silly to think it’d be too drastically higher a likelihood than the others for any of these considering all the random health complications people get when they’re this old. We wouldn’t hear about most of the issues anyway, so making this decision based on what gets the most media coverage is laughable.
@SteveAcomb There's a pretty big difference between 70 and 80 years old, so I'm not betting on Xi.
@PatrickAupperle sound logic on it’s own, however it is arguably the least likely for us to know about any health problems he may have, so anything sub-double-digits for Xi seems underpriced for that reason alone.
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will die first - Hunter Biden or Donald Trump Jr.?
Will Putin outlive Biden?
76% chance
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump pass away while serving their second presidential term?
16% chance
Will either Putin or Zelenskyy be deposed, die or leave office first?
Will Vladimir Putin live longer than Xi Jinping?
26% chance