Will SBF pardon Biden?
➕
Plus
24
Ṁ1827
Jan 1
9%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ250 NO

I have a pretty good feeling that this one is a no.

what does this mean? how would SBF pardon Biden?

bought Ṁ10 YES from 3% to 6%
bought Ṁ10 YES

@shankypanky he can still be elected president from prison; Biden can get convicted after leaving office; SBF pardons Biden --> profit

@AndrewG okay there are a lot of layers here but I'm encouraged by the fact that we have some time to manipulate this market.

in fact, if biden gets convicted under state law, it suffices for sbf to become governor, which I think he can accomplish

Lol I think the odds are off on this one based on the title

Lol I think the odds are off on this one based on the title

Did you mean: "Will Biden pardon SBF?"

@NevinWetherill Too late to change it now. lol

@SirCryptomind will it still resolve NO even if Biden pardons SBF?

best if @AndrewG chimes in here I think 😂 - what if SBF talks to Biden under some circumstances, doesn't hear him, and says "pardon?" or "excuse me?" lol

@shankypanky 😂 I think we should just make up new resolution criteria and cancel old ones continuously for the next 4 years and try to draw a rollercoaster with the probability

Maybe have a RNG running with cumulative 25% change to randomly trigger "resolve the market with the current criteria" at some point during each year

If there's not gonna be an N/A option we've gotta find something interesting to do with all the markets that depart into an alternate-universe for whatever reason.

@shankypanky This also qualifies or I riot

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules