don't forget that his term ends in 2026 lol

Close and pay

Reminds me of the character of the award-winning show THE WIRE on the HBOMAX. Man has made it in the life, but he cannot resist it all. Something is there pulling him back to it. Life imitating the artist.

Not sure why this dropped to 2% but Polymarket has him at 60% to at least last through the start of 2025, which seems to imply that it can't be thiiiis low unless I'm missing something.

@benshindel These are two different markets though. Adams term in office runs until 1/1/2026, while Polymarket has him staying through the start of 2025. He might hold on for a few months, but its very unlikely he makes it for all of 2025.

@JamesOrr yes I know, that’s why I said “seems to imply”

U.S. Inquiry Into N.Y. Mayor’s Foreign Ties Said to Include 6 Countries

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/nyregion/fbi-adams-qatar-israel-china-uzbekistan-korea.html?unlocked_article_code=1.NE4.DOnh.eqJylmZ_6deC&smid=url-share

it is happening again.

Eric Adams and His Campaign Receive Subpoenas in Federal Investigation https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/15/nyregion/eric-adams-fbi-investigation.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

nytimes.com

F.B.I. Seizes Eric Adams’s Phones as Campaign Investigation Intensifies: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/10/nyregion/adams-fbi-investigation-phones.html

Dashboard of other NYC-related markets: https://manifold.markets/dashboard/nyc

Let me know if anyone has suggestions for others to add!

NYC

dashboard created by Andy Martin

@AndyMartin

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/02/nyregion/eric-adams-brianna-suggs-fbi-raid.html

@AndyMartin The raid was almost certainly timed to occur during the highly publicized migrant crisis meeting at the White House. Adam's reaction to the raid, abandoning the meeting to rush back to NYC, speaks volumes given that it is a terrible look.

Based on the available information, there is currently no definitive evidence that suggests New York City Mayor Eric Adams will not complete his term, which is set to end on January 1, 2026. To date, there are no major scandals, legal issues, health concerns, or personal problems reported that might cause him to step down before his term ends. However, it is noted that he's facing criticism and challenges during his mayoralty.

Some Background From The Web

Has Eric Adams faced any major scandal or controversy since he took office?
Politico
PBS

Will Eric Adams complete his current term in office as NYC Mayor?
Politico
Ballotpedia

Are there any legal, health, or personal issues that might compel Eric Adams to step down before his term ends?
Reuters
The New Yorker