Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
Plus
12
Ṁ4812027
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently Rocket Lab is planning on sending an atomospheric probe to Venus with a target launch date of January 2025:
https://venuscloudlife.com/small-mission/
https://www.rocketlabusa.com/missions/upcoming-missions/first-private-mission-to-venus/
This market resolve YES if Rocket Lab succesfully delivers any kind of atmospheric measurement probe into the Venusian atmosphere by the end of 2026. The probe does not need to successfully collect data or function; it just needs to actually enter the atmosphere.
I have chosen a close time of 2026 to accomodate both the travel time to Venus and smaller delays.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2024?
When will the next probe successfully land on Venus?
Will the Venus Life Finder enter Venus's atmosphere before 2026?
52% chance
When will the next probe successfully descend in the Venusian atmosphere?
🚀Will there be a successful orbital launch of a new rocket (=not Vega) by a european provider by the end of 2024? 🛰
54% chance
Will RocketLab have at least 16 orbital launches in 2024?
65% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2065?
39% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2060?
32% chance
Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2041?
28% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?
27% chance