If the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment reaches 90 before election day, will Joe Biden win?
Basic
8
Ṁ311Nov 6
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Index of Consumer Sentiment measures Americans' perceptions of the economy. How much will a strong economy (as viewed by voters) help Joe Biden?
If the Index of Consumer Sentiment does not reach 90 before November, this market will resolve to N/A. Otherwise, it will resolve to YES if Joe Biden wins the 2024 presidential election and NO if he does not win the election.
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