Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?
Basic
6
Ṁ852025
50%
Yes
7%
No, replaced with leap minutes
6%
No, replaced with leap hours
24%
No, civil time based on atomic time (e.g. TAI) and fully decoupled from Earth rotation
7%
No, civil time based on Earth rotation (e.g. UT1) and fully decoupled from atomic time
7%
Something else
(If they're replaced by leap minutes, there will be around one every few decades, and if they're replaced by leap hours, there will be around one every couple millennia.)
Resolves based on what the rules are on 31 December 2050, regardless of how many or how few leap seconds/minutes/hours are actually added or subtracted.
They don't have to be implemented as extra seconds/minutes/hours as today -- smoother adjustments would also count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?
74% chance
Will there be a negative leap second by end of 2035?
51% chance
Will there be another positive leap second by end of 2035?
38% chance
Will 4000 be a leap year?
34% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
47% chance
Will there be a period of 12 contiguous months during which no new compute-SOTA LM is released, by Jan 1, 2033?
71% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
41% chance
Will the US change to permanent Standard Time before 2030?
27% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
52% chance
Will International Space Station be in orbit on January 1, 2030?
78% chance