Will at least 50.0% of US adults consume alcohol in an average month in 2030?
Basic
8
Ṁ126
2030
65%
chance

The National Survey on Drug Use and Health surveys the proportion of people who have consumed at least one alcoholic drink in the last 30 days.

According to the 2021 survey, 52.8% of US people had consumed alcohol in the past month.

https://www.samhsa.gov/data/report/2021-nsduh-detailed-tables, Table 2.9B

This is down from 56.3% in 2018 and 55.9% in 2019.

https://www.samhsa.gov/data/report/2019-nsduh-detailed-tables

The difference to 2021 may be a methodological change, due to covid, or to more permanent trends.

What proportion will consume alcohol in an average month in 2030, as reported by the National Survey on Drug Use and Health for that year?

If the NSDUH does not report figures, closest available government source will be used.

The percentage figure reported by NSDUH, to one decimal point (as presented above) will be used to determine the outcome.


Jan 27, 12:00pm: Will at least 50% of US adults consume alcohol in an average month in 2030? → Will at least 50.0% of US adults consume alcohol in an average month in 2030?

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