Will at least 8.0% of the U.S. population smoke cigarettes in 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ592029
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In 2020, according to the CDC, 12.5% of the US population smoked cigarettes.
Will at least 8.0% of the U.S. population smoke cigarettes in 2030, as reported by the CDC, in the BRFSS or other data?
https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/adult_data/cig_smoking/index.htm
Resolves YES if 8.0% (rounded to 1 d.p., so >=7.950000%) or more smoke cigarettes, or NO otherwise, using BRFSS data if it is available, or if not, the figure used most prominently by the CDC.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 5.0% of the US population smoke cigarettes in 2030?
82% chance
Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?
19% chance
Will at least 50.0% of US adults consume alcohol in an average month in 2030?
65% chance
Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?
62% chance
Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2035?
46% chance
Will 10% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?
84% chance
Smoking less deadly: will the life expectancy penalty for smokers decrease by 2030?
51% chance
Will at least 1 in 6 of US adults (21+) binge alcohol in an average month in 2030?
69% chance
Will there be a federal ban on menthol cigarettes in the United States by the end of 2030?
29% chance
Will at least half of Americans (aged 30-40) possess crypto currency by 2060?
63% chance