Will Donald Trump be banned from running for President under the insurrection clause of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
Standard
29
Ṁ5366Nov 11
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Donald Trump be banned from running for President under the insurrection clause of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
Resolves positively if there's a court decision that prevents Donald Trump running, and as a result he is unable to appear on the final ballot in at least one state where he could be competitive, or if he is prevented from taking his oath of office due to the 14th amendment.
See also
- https://manifold.markets/RyanKidd/will-at-least-one-us-state-print-ba
- https://manifold.markets/B/will-trump-sue-to-be-allowed-to-run
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4532751
https://www.vox.com/23828477/trump-2024-14th-amendment-banned
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