Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

1kṀ8669

2032

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if Thiel announces and files paperwork launching a formal campaign for the White House.

US Politics

Trump

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Peter Thiel run for any elected government office this decade?

9% chance

Peter Thiel or a candidate who has previously worked for Thiel wins Republican nomination for President before 2033.

31% chance

Will Peter Thiel show up on the Joe Rogan Experience by 2025?

99% chance

Will Peter thiel be charged with a felony by 2026.

7% chance

Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

6% chance

Will Peter Thiel receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?

31% chance

Will Peter thiel win the nobel prize

4% chance

Will Donald Trump nominate Peter Thiel to serve on the Supreme Court of the United States during Trump II?

5% chance

Will Mark Zuckerberg ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

25% chance

Will Jeff Bezos ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Sort by:

Lmao https://twitter.com/SpecialPuppy1/status/1592322083228647424?s=20&t=rPCpgJ31ov7sk1-vUv9QNw

I am thinking about resolving this N/A. What does everyone else think about that?

Outright transfer of wealth from the traders here (130 bets placed) to you who bought all the YES in the 30s 🤔

@Gigacasting I have lost -$414 on this market.

@Gigacasting Oh I see, I don't lose anymore that if I resolve N/A and that would be a dick move. Right?

@BTE seems like a bit of a breach of trust. Questions should mean what they say. The answer is *probably* no, but a constitutional amendment *could* happen. Most honest resolution is to just leave the question open until the close date.

@MattP I was just thinking about the possibility of an amendment that changed that. It is close to zero, but who knows I guess. I suppose if JD Vance ever runs for president it would effectively be like Thiel running by proxy...