Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?
Basic
55
8.5k
2032
6%
chance

Resolves YES if Thiel announces and files paperwork launching a formal campaign for the White House.

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I am thinking about resolving this N/A. What does everyone else think about that?
Outright transfer of wealth from the traders here (130 bets placed) to you who bought all the YES in the 30s 🤔
@Gigacasting I have lost -$414 on this market.
@Gigacasting Oh I see, I don't lose anymore that if I resolve N/A and that would be a dick move. Right?
@BTE seems like a bit of a breach of trust. Questions should mean what they say. The answer is *probably* no, but a constitutional amendment *could* happen. Most honest resolution is to just leave the question open until the close date.
@MattP I was just thinking about the possibility of an amendment that changed that. It is close to zero, but who knows I guess. I suppose if JD Vance ever runs for president it would effectively be like Thiel running by proxy...
He's not a natural born US citizen and isn't eligible for the presidency
@KevinKwok thanks for letting me know that. Never even occurred to me.
predicts YES
If Obama can afford a fake birth certificate (cost: https://www.nbcnews.com/usnews/health-director-who-approved-obama-birth-certificate-dies-plane-crash-2d11732106), certainly Peter can 🤔
predicts NO
@Gigacasting Sad to see people believe that racist bullshit still
Trying the republican nomination count?