Will Russia control [annex] Transnistria by the end of 2024?
Plus
41
Ṁ17kJan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
It’s already been recognised by the European Parliament as Russian-occupied since 2022.
@BTE So are we talking military control, administrative control, (legally enacted) claims that Transnistria ought to be considered a Russian territory?
E.g. would you consider Russia to control:
Transnistria now (maybe military?? but no legal claim, & I assume distinct administration),
Crimea (all 3),
Luhansk Oblast (all 3, iiuc military incomplete but almost entire),
Kherson Oblast (all 3, military/administrative partial at like 60% & dubiously stable)
@Ouroboros I meant annex. At the time it wasn’t a word used to frivolously but now everything is being annexed. Le sigh.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Moldova control Transnistria by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Russia control the entire Luhansk region at the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
1% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will there be a successful coup in Russia by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Russia be broken up by the end of 2024?
2% chance