If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
Plus
39
Ṁ47922026
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Balasar edit the closing date to be sometime after January 20th, 2026. Currently it's set to September 30th, 2024
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
25% chance
Will Joe Biden's approval rating reach 50% in his first term?
3% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
50% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
33% chance
Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?
84% chance
Donald Trump's favorability rating 50% or higher on Jan 20th?
23% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
35% chance
Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:
Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description)
51% chance
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
60% chance