If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office? | Manifold

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?

Plus

28

Ṁ1527

2026

33%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Republican Party

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ150 YES

Based upon what poll?

@JeffBerman Thanks for the question. I will be using the 538 job approval rating average for Jan 20th, 2026.

@Balasar Thank you

Having trouble resolving this N/A. @mods

@Balasar Are you confusing this with another market? Trump did win, so no need to N/A

@Agh My apologies, I got this confused with my Harris market of the same form.

Related questions

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?

Will Joe Biden's approval rating reach 50% in his first term?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?

Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:

Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description)

If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?

Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?

Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?

Donald Trump's favorability rating 50% or higher on Jan 20th?

Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?

Related questions

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?

If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?

Will Joe Biden's approval rating reach 50% in his first term?

Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?

Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?

Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:

Donald Trump's favorability rating 50% or higher on Jan 20th?

Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description)

Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules