When will Ukraine join the EU?
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Plus
29
Ṁ3191
2030
0.4%
2023
3%
2024
4%
2025
8%
2026
12%
2027
12%
2028
10%
2029
52%
2030 or later or never

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"2030 or later or never" is one hell of a bucket. When prompted about the actual steps required for accession, the Metaculus community gives only a 6% chance of it happening before 2030.

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