Which of the following users will stay active on manifold until EOY 2025? | Manifold

Which of the following users will stay active on manifold until EOY 2025?

37

2.8kṀ12k

2026

95%

90%

90%

86%

80%

80%

73%

67%

58%

50%

50%

48%

@SteveSokolowski

44%

43%

15%

Feel free to add yourselves or any other user :p

"Not active" is not defined precisely, but the idea is that if someone essentially stops going on manifold a few times per week, for a month or two, their option can resolve NO.

Manifold Business Future

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

@Bayesian Blankspace got banned, his option can resolve

@bagelfan what'd he do (apart from the usual)?

@benshindel He didn't start doing anything different but him constantly starting his hateful views across many markets grew tiresome and mods recommended a ban.

Here's the statement from @SirSalty

(sorry for the late reply)

@Bayesian resolve please

🙃

😭

bought Ṁ250 NO

Eliezer hasn’t been active for a couple months, and Ammon stopped being active for an extended period too.

bought Ṁ250 YES

@snazzlePop Tyty

@stardust Inspired by jim's market!

bought Ṁ150 NO

@Bayesian a bunch of these should resolve no

Thanks

wait, should people not buy their own option to 100%, because if they quit the app it won't be a disadvantage to lose this mana anyway? hmMmMmMm

@Bayesian I've been shorting everyone except Gabrielle bc of this distortionary effect 🤭

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 40% order

@Stralor got a limit order on my option >:)

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Bayesian sure I'll bite a lil out for now :D

bought Ṁ100 YES

I've been around since the beginning, I'll probably still be around

bought Ṁ10 NO

very likely they will take a break

@nikki I've taken a break before, so I can see myself taking a break again

It's actually so hard to tell if I should buy any of these up or down, so passes the new market sniff test

Related questions

Will I still be a Partner on Manifold at EOY 2025?

Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?

Which manifold users will have created the most questions by EOY 2024?

Manifold Monthly Active users at end of 2025

Which of the following Manifold users will rank highest in the ACX 2025 prediction contest?

Will I (@Robincvgr) still be active on Manifold at the end of 2025?

Which Manifold users with a 2023 join date will be active in 2025?

Which manifolders will still be active in 2028? (add answers!)

Will I still be active on Manifold a year after the Great Pivot?

Will any past or present high level government official in the US join Manifold before the end of 2025?

Related questions

Will I still be a Partner on Manifold at EOY 2025?

Will I (@Robincvgr) still be active on Manifold at the end of 2025?

Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?

Which Manifold users with a 2023 join date will be active in 2025?

Which manifold users will have created the most questions by EOY 2024?

Which manifolders will still be active in 2028? (add answers!)

Manifold Monthly Active users at end of 2025

Will I still be active on Manifold a year after the Great Pivot?

Which of the following Manifold users will rank highest in the ACX 2025 prediction contest?

Will any past or present high level government official in the US join Manifold before the end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules