Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
Plus
15
Ṁ2542027
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games. Must be top 10 at any time before market close (EOY 2026).
See also:
/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-be021261544d
/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-0d580bfd0bb9 (This one)
/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-c53f4ba5e055
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
70% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2025?
31% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
79% chance
Will a video game involving LLM dialogue be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
39% chance
Will I release a game in 2024?
10% chance
Which PC games will make it into Metacritic's 2024 end of year top ten?
Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?
27% chance
What will be Steam's 12 top selling new releases of 2024?
What will be Steam's 12 top selling games of 2024?
Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?
19% chance