Will Israel annex a part of the West Bank by the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
24
Ṁ1700
2026
22%
chance

The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of the West Bank hitherto outside its domain, before 2026.

Resolves NO on December 31st, 2025 otherwise.

See also:

/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-by
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-the-wes (This market)

/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-part-of-palestine
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-in

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bought Ṁ50 NO

Israel hasn't formally annexed any of the west bank in fifty years, would be odd to start now.

bought Ṁ150 NO from 35% to 30%
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