Will Democrats control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030? | Manifold

Will Democrats control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030?

Plus

23

Ṁ1935

2030

37%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

See also:

/Bayesian/will-the-dems-control-all-3-branche
/Bayesian/will-republicans-control-all-3-bran

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#US State Government

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ30 NO

Asked on the other question but: who controls SCOTUS?

@DavidFWatson currently, the GOP - it is the current Court that implemented their long-running policy of overturning Roe v. Wade, for instance. They also gave cover to an insurrectionist running for President.

@BrunoParga Sure, but how do we decide this in 2030? Whether a Democrat or a Republican nominated each justice? Who the median is?

@DavidFWatson I think I had misunderstood your question.

I think median is good.

@BrunoParga but again, median how? They don't have official party affiliations.

Related questions

Will a Democrat win the popular vote in ALL of the following presidential elections: 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040

-21% 1d3% chance

Will Republicans control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030?

Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?

Will either party have a governing trifecta after the 2024 U.S. elections?

+5% 1d97% chance

Will a Democrat have the Electoral College advantage in any of the next three elections (2024, 2028, or 2032)?

Will Democrats win both houses of Congress?

-16% 1d2% chance

Will the House, Senate and presidency be controlled by one party on 21 January 2025?

+60% 1d98% chance

Will Democrats control the U.S. Senate at the start of the 119th U.S. Congress?

Will the democratic party win the 2032 U.S. presidential election?

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Related questions

Will a Democrat win the popular vote in ALL of the following presidential elections: 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040

Will Democrats win both houses of Congress?

Will Republicans control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030?

Will the House, Senate and presidency be controlled by one party on 21 January 2025?

Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?

Will Democrats control the U.S. Senate at the start of the 119th U.S. Congress?

Will either party have a governing trifecta after the 2024 U.S. elections?

Will the democratic party win the 2032 U.S. presidential election?

Will a Democrat have the Electoral College advantage in any of the next three elections (2024, 2028, or 2032)?

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules