Will vaccines be banned in the US under Trump, before 2026?
➕
Plus
25
Ṁ6137
2029
6%
chance

Here, "ban vaccines" is taken to be broad; if there is consensus of credible reporting that vaccines were banned in some way, resolves YES.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I assume if one or more vaccines are banned this resolved "YES", not all vaccines have to bed banned as a category, correct?

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Enlil If we interpret it broadly enough, every administration that has held or denied FDA approval for a vaccine has "banned vaccines".

I propose a vaccine basket: pneumonia, covid, flu, hpv, and hepatitis. If one of those is categorically illegal, resolves yes. Otherwise, resolves no even if some vaccine somewhere had its FDA approval revoked.

@GG it seems the most likely candidate for a ban would be COVID vaccines

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules