Will vaccines be banned in the US under Trump, before 2026?
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Here, "ban vaccines" is taken to be broad; if there is consensus of credible reporting that vaccines were banned in some way, resolves YES.
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If anyone wants to go into more detail, here's my related market:
https://manifold.markets/nonnihil/the-antivax-market-which-vaccines-b
@Enlil If we interpret it broadly enough, every administration that has held or denied FDA approval for a vaccine has "banned vaccines".
I propose a vaccine basket: pneumonia, covid, flu, hpv, and hepatitis. If one of those is categorically illegal, resolves yes. Otherwise, resolves no even if some vaccine somewhere had its FDA approval revoked.
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