Will Cristina Kirchner be imprisoned until the end of 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ942026
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On December 2022, Argentina’s Vice-President and former president, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, was sentenced to six years in prison and given a lifelong ban on holding public office after being found guilty in a $1bn fraud case related to public works (Source). However, analysts quoted by the press say it is unlikely she will go to jail any time soon, as she enjoys immunity as VP and head of the Senate (Source).
This market resolves as YES if Kirchner spends at least 2 hours in jail until the end of 2025. It resolves as NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Argentina's recession end by the end of 2024?
Will Iñigo Errejón spend a night in jail by the end of 2025?
54% chance
Will Argentina become more authoritarian in 2024?
30% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be taken to jail until the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Argentina relax foreign exchange controls before 2025?
61% chance
Will Argentina grant asylum or shelter to any fugitives from the 1/8/2023 attempted coup in Brazil by the end of 2024?
24% chance
Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?
75% chance
Will Argentina central bank shuts down before the end of 2025?
22% chance
Will Argentina default before 2027?
28% chance
Will Cardinal Becciu serve time in prison after corruption conviction before 2026?
70% chance