Bolsonaro sentenced (unappealably) to prison or house by May 25, 2025
Basic
5
Ṁ3012025
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based on whether Bolsonaro receives either a prison or house arrest sentence. Resolution will be based on official court decisions or reliable news reporting.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@FranklinBaldo Great question that required me to learn a thing or two. Let's say that the sentence must be considered final and unappealable. I have edited the description and title.
Related questions
Related questions
Jair Bolsonaro arrested before December 31, 2025?
55% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be taken to jail until the end of 2024?
5% chance
When will Jair Bolsonaro receive his passport back?
Will Lula still be President of Brazil on March 1st 2025? 🇧🇷🗳️
75% chance
Will Bolsonaro lose his political rights without being arrested?
24% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro attend Donald Trump’s 2025 Inauguration?
13% chance
If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
70% chance
Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?
71% chance
Will Cristina Kirchner be imprisoned until the end of 2025?
29% chance
Will Rep.-elect George Santos appear in court or in custody in Brazil (including through extradition) before the end of 2024?
2% chance