If Jair Bolsonaro is condemned to prison, what set of charges will this be based on?
Basic
3
Ṁ1562027
13%
Selling jewelry and other luxury gifts given to the Presidency under his term for his personal benefit
52%
Involvement with an attempted coup d'état after he lost the 2022 Elections and/or the 1/8/23 events
10%
Defrauding official COVID-19 vaccination records for him and his family members to travel to the USA
5%
Something pandemic-related (dissemination of fake news, encouraging people not to take protective measures, the Covaxin scandal etc)
3%
Interfering with the Federal Police for personal purposes
3%
Leaking information related to ongoing investigations of hacker attacks on the Electoral Justice
3%
Something related to an involvement with the paramilitary groups in Rio de Janeiro
5%
Something related to ghost employees or salary kickback schemes in his or his family's parliamentary cabinets
0.7%
Whale harassment
3%
I will resolve to the first indictment that reaches a final judgment and includes a penalty of at least one day of closed or semi-open prison regime.
I'll not consider short-term ("preventative"/"temporary") arrests.
The actual prison mandate does not have to be fulfilled. E.g., I will resolve it to whatever generated the penalty even if he escapes the country, a popular uprising occurs, etc.
If no definitive prison penalty is declared by the closing date, I'll resolve the market as N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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