If the date on which we get official generations from GPT-5 (this is not a typo) comes before 2027, I will resolve this positively.
This is an excellent article that is both informative and original. Please update us on any new developments retro bowl.
Time between GPT-1 and GPT-2 = 8 months
GPT-2 - GPT-3 = 15 months
GPT-3 - GPT-4 = 20 months
Average = 14.33 months per GPT
So GPT-5 would be in May 2024 (ish)
The time between GPT's has been getting longer, first by 7 months then 5 months. Assuming 6 months more each time would be 26 months to GPT-4 then 32 months to GPT-5. Which would put you near the end of 2026.
I think it's pretty likely that if they were to release a GPT-4 and GPT-5 it would be released before 2027.
But how likely is it that they will train a GPT-5? By then surely it would be multimodal, and perhaps go under a different name to reflect that? I'm going with no purely because I think there is a less than 74% change that there will be a model called GPT-5 released by OpenAI.