What was the main cause of the crash of a DHL Cargo near Vilnius on 25-Nov-2024
➕
Plus
6
Ṁ1739
2025
9%
Windshear or similar adverse weather conditions
10%
Sabotage or terrorism (from non-crew), including explosives in cargo
8%
Deliberate action of crew
15%
Mechanical problem or other technical malfunction
22%
Pilot error
9%
Fuel problem
9%
Engine problem
5%
Use of ground-to-air or air-to-air firepower
13%
Cargo load shift

There can be multiple causes, but I will use my best judgement to select the MAIN cause. More specific wins, e.g. if it's a fuel problem due to human error, it will be judged as fuel problem, and "engine problem" wins over "technical malfunction".
Market closes when there is a report (even preliminary report) that without much doubt makes a conclusion on the main cause. If no such report exists after a year, I may extend the closing date.

I will not participate in this market.

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Video + Audio right before the crash.

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