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Will any more top brass on the Russian side die before the end of the war on Ukraine? [See Description]
Basic
19
Ṁ1.0k2030
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Russian top brass" is ultimately a subjective description, but it would include but not be limited to the following: Vladimir Putin, Valery Gerasimov, Sergei Shoigu, Alexander Lukashenko, Sergei Lavrov, Dmitry Medvedev, Ramzan Kadyrov.
"Any more" in this case refers to Yevgeny Prigozhin. Any future figures rising to his level of prominence would be included. Figures falling out of prominence before their death, such as Surovikin, are not included.
The war ends when I consider it so. In general I would not consider a ceasefire akin to Minsk I or II as an end to the war.
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