In which decade will the prime factors of RSA-2048 first be known? | Manifold

In which decade will the prime factors of RSA-2048 first be known?

Basic

2

Ṁ59

2080

15%

2020s

24%

2030s

19%

2040s

6%

2050s

6%

2060s

5%

2070s

25%

2080 or later

This market resolves to the first decade in which the factors of RSA-2048 are publicly known.

RSA-2048 refers to the number

25195908475657893494027183240048398571429282126204032027777137836043662020707595556264018525880784406918290641249515082189298559149176184502808489120072844992687392807287776735971418347270261896375014971824691165077613379859095700097330459748808428401797429100642458691817195118746121515172654632282216869987549182422433637259085141865462043576798423387184774447920739934236584823824281198163815010674810451660377306056201619676256133844143603833904414952634432190114657544454178424020924616515723350778707749817125772467962926386356373289912154831438167899885040445364023527381951378636564391212010397122822120720357

Which is a 2048 bit integer created for the purposes of the RSA Factoring challenge

See also:

/IsaacKing/will-the-prime-factors-of-rsa2048-b

/IsaacKing/will-the-prime-factors-of-rsa2048-b-ee7b47b7c8ab

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Quantum Computing

#Computational Complexity Theory

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

https://qrc.btq.li/

Quantum Risk Calculator

Visualization & analysis of how quantum computers will impact modern web

Related questions

Will the prime factors of RSA-2048 be known before 2030?

Will any prime factor of the 1801st Fibonacci Number be found by 2025?

-5% 1d19% chance

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2030?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2050?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2035?

Will the prime factors of RSA-1024 be known by 2030?

🔓What will happen before RSA-2048 encryption is widely considered broken?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2040?

Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Related questions

Will the prime factors of RSA-2048 be known before 2030?

Will the prime factors of RSA-1024 be known by 2030?

Will any prime factor of the 1801st Fibonacci Number be found by 2025?

🔓What will happen before RSA-2048 encryption is widely considered broken?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2030?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2040?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2050?

Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2035?

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules