Will there be more than 200 people with a neuralink by August 2027?
Basic
3
Ṁ802027
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon musk( https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1826409318578565326):
Update about the second Neuralink device in a human.
If all goes well, there will be hundreds of people with Neuralinks within a few years, maybe tens of thousands within 5 years, millions within 10 years, …
Let's see if that first prediction comes through. Hundreds I figure has to be at least 200, and a few years should be more than two and less than 5 (since Elon gives a separate prediction for 5 years), hence there 3 year prediction in the title
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
59% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
59% chance
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
21% chance
When will be the first year that 10,000 people receive Neuralink brain implants?
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
25% chance
Will Neuralink implant its device in five or more patients before the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable telepathy using its technology by 2030?
64% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?
45% chance
100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027
47% chance
Will Neuralink IPO by the end of 2024?
3% chance