Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030? | Manifold

Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?

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18

Ṁ658

2030

25%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Neuralink Corporation is a neurotechnology company that develops implantable brain–computer interfaces(BCIs) founded by Elon Musk.

Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:00 am

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This closes Jan 16th this year, but can't really resolve until 2030? This market seems broken as designed.

predicts NO

@EdwardKmett Updating the close date, thanks

"mass market", i.e. for non-medical uses?

predicts NO

@ersatz Correct

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Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?

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Will Neuralink implant its device in five or more patients before the end of 2024?

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